crypto_chase
disciplined_swing_trader◆ Seeded@crypto_chase
Nicholas Carolí is a technically-driven swing trader specializing in liquidity sweeps and precision entries across equities, futures, commodities, and crypto. Known for calling bottoms in advance with layered limit orders — from the S&P tariff crash lows to Gold and Google — he combines ICT/SMC methodology with sharp macro awareness. His unfiltered, contrarian commentary and live trade transparency have built a loyal following of traders who value process over hype.
ANTE Score
verified · v1.180% win rate over 5/20 calls · 23% coverage — a score appears at 20.
5 of 20 resolved · ~20 by Jun 29
1-wk read · provisional · unverified: +4.8% (+6.6% vs mkt) · 67% up over 15 calls
Building — first 20 trades
BuildingANTE Analyst Note
AI-written from the record + public posts · medium confidence — opinion, not the verified scoreNicholas Caroli (crypto_chase) is a brash, technically fluent ICT/SMC swing trader who hunts liquidity sweeps across crypto, stocks, futures and metals, wrapped in loud, contrarian, Saylor-baiting commentary. The verified record is early — 5 decided calls, 3-2, but with winners that outpaid losers — so treat the conviction as promising rather than proven. What stands out is the transparency: losses get posted, setups get taught, and the community is genuinely free. The one thing to know: the tweet is a signpost; the full trade lives in his Discord and streams.
The Record
Early but net-positiveThe verified spine is genuinely thin: based on 5 decided calls (26% coverage, data through 2026-07-22), he's 3-2 for a 60% hit rate. What earns attention is the asymmetry — winning crypto longs averaged +16.28% while losers cost -10.84%, so the wins more than paid for the misses. ZEC and two SOL longs landed; both BTC longs timed out. Corroboration is confirmed, but at five decided calls this is a promising sketch, not a proven track record.
The Craft
ICT liquidity sniperPure ICT/SMC: liquidity sweeps, fair-value gaps, demand zones, equal highs as targets. The plans are conditional and structure-anchored — 'flush into demand then go for the equal highs,' 'bid the box.' A why usually rides along. But the receipts are fragmented: only 11% of tracked calls carried both a target and a stop, and 0% stated a timeframe on X. The full entry, TP and SL setups live in his free Discord and Kraken streams, so a tweet is a signpost, not the whole trade.
The Risk
Loose stops, positive edgeHere's the tension. Winners (+16.28% average) outpaid losers (-10.84%), and no scoring anomalies flagged. He posts losses plainly — 'Stopped out, back to sleep' — which is rare and healthy. But discipline on paper is uneven: just 11% of tracked calls stated both a target and a stop, and none stated a timeframe. He also averages down openly ('Added to longs, avg entry 67.5'), which rewards patience when structure holds and punishes it when it breaks. Invalidation levels are usually named; honoring them is the follower's job.
The Style
Brash, funny, transparentLoud, funny, unmistakably online. A months-long feud with Michael Saylor and Bitcoin runs through the feed, sports bets pepper it, and he'll spike the ball — 'Called for 180's at the local top.' The ego is real, but so is the transparency: losses get posted, not buried. Monetisation is refreshingly light — a free Discord and Telegram ('it will always be free'), Kraken-sponsored streams, a Rainbet sportsbook tie-in, and old teaching clips on YouTube. Process-over-hype is the brand, and mostly he lives it.
Education & Community
Teaches without gatekeepingGenuine teaching intent. He explains liquidity mechanics in plain language, has posted old educational videos to YouTube, and promised to teach a five-minute strategy once Telegram hit 5k members. The free-forever Discord functions as an active classroom, not a funnel, and he narrates his reasoning live. The caveats: reply-guy combat is frequent and occasionally sharper than it needs to be toward critics, and the ICT vocabulary — FVG, demand, equal lows — assumes some fluency. A beginner will learn plenty here, but they'll have to meet him partway.
The Match
For ICT swing tradersYou'll like this if you speak ICT/SMC, want liquidity-sweep swing entries with named invalidation, and enjoy a contrarian who trades crypto, stocks, futures and metals with equal appetite — and you're willing to sit in his Discord and streams to get the full setup. Skip if you need self-contained tweet calls with explicit timeframes, dislike sports-bet and feud noise threaded through your feed, or want a hand-held, jargon-free plan. Best for engaged, screen-time-rich traders, not set-and-forget followers.
- Cadence
- Heavy — multiple posts most days, plus weekly Kraken-partnered livestreams
- Assets
- Crypto, stocks, futures, metals and ETFs (tracked record so far is crypto-only)
- Horizon
- Swing — days to weeks
- Plan format
- Conditional if-then bids with named invalidation; full entry/TP/SL in Discord and streams
- Strategy
- ICT/SMC liquidity — sweeps, fair-value gaps, demand zones, equal highs/lows
- Direction clarity
- if-then
- Monetisation
- Free Discord and Telegram; Kraken-sponsored streams; Rainbet sportsbook affiliate; YouTube education
- Effort to follow
- high
- Best-fit reader
- ICT/SMC-literate swing traders who want liquidity-sweep entries and will source full setups from his Discord and streams
- Followers
- 201,186
Based on 5 decided calls, 26% coverage, 200 posts read · through 2026-07-22.
Leaving room to add towards 600. Sized conservatively to average down.
✓ Entry in line with market at post (2% off).
Left room to add lower if necessary.
✓ Entry in line with market at post (3% off).
ANTE is a record of public calls and their market outcomes — not financial advice, and never a recommendation to follow or trade with anyone.